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Monday, January 16, 2012

Stocks higher inpsite of weaker guidance. How long can this last ?

As said in my earlier article, http://www.freefdawatchlist.com/2012/01/ecb-fine-tuning-operation-is-causing.html ECB is conducting fine tuning operation on Jan 17th, we have seen market opening higher on same fine tuning operation on Dec 20th, 27th, Jan 3rd and Jan 10th. http://www.ecb.int/mopo/implement/omo/html/index.en.html (check Adhoc communication for next upcoming date). The market is likely to open higher tomorrow. After close of market EUR/USD will sell off and fall, below at 1.25 level.


Meanwhile US earning season has begun with companies announcing disappointing earning and lowering guidance, one after another. AA and JPM have already shown how this earning season will turn out. Fourth Quarter is considered to be the strongest quarter for any company, yet S&P500 companies have lowered their earning guidance, shows where US economy is heading. US stock market is moving higher on the hope that things will get better. This hope has been going on for past 3 year because of the free money printing press run by FED and ECB. Free money is not a good sign, FED and ECB are raising the risk of deflation everyday.

Hope has never worked for the stock market, sooner or later market will come to reality. Below is the list of companies lowering/raising guidance for fourth quarter earning.




S&P 500 Companies' Fourth-Quarter Earnings Guidance

TickerCompanyDateGuidanceEstimateDirection
ABTAbbott Labs10/191.441.43Positive
ADBEAdobe Systems 9/20          0.61         0.58Positive
ADBEAdobe Systems 11/8          0.61         0.60Positive
AFLAFLAC 10/27          1.49         1.55Negative
AFLAFLAC 12/7          1.47         1.52Negative
AAgilent Technologies 11/15          0.68         0.70Negative
APDAir Products & Chemicals10/21          1.35         1.45Negative
APDAir Products & Chemicals11/22          1.35         1.36Negative
ARGAirgas 10/27          0.97         0.97Negative
AKAMAkamai Technologies10/26          0.39         0.39In-Line
AGNAllergan 10/26          0.98         1.01Negative
APHAmphenol Corp10/19          0.70         0.79Negative
ADIAnalog Devices 11/21          0.48         0.59Negative
AIVApartment Investment& Management10/28          0.41         0.43Negative
AAPLApple 10/18          9.30         9.00Positive
AMATApplied Materials 11/16          0.12         0.18Negative
ADSKAutodesk 11/15          0.44         0.44Negative
AVBAvalonbay Communities 10/31          1.21         1.27Negative
BAXBaxter International10/20          1.17         1.17Negative
BDXBecton Dickinson 11/2          1.15         1.43Negative
BBBYBed Bath & Beyond 9/21          0.85         0.86Negative
BMSBemis 10/26          0.39         0.55Negative
BIGBig Lots 12/2          1.63         1.63Negative
BWABorgwarner 10/28          1.22         1.21Positive
BSXBoston Scientific Corp10/20          0.10         0.10Negative
CCLCarnival Corporation9/20          0.28         0.36Negative
CCLCarnival Corporation9/30          0.28         0.29Negative
CTLCenturylink 11/2          0.60         0.33Positive
CERNCerner Corporation10/27          0.52         0.52In-Line
CBChubb Corporation10/20          1.65         1.65In-Line
CSCOCisco Sys 11/9          0.43         0.42Positive
CTXSCitrix Systems 10/27          0.76         0.74Positive
CTSHCognizant Tech Solutions Cp11/2          0.76         0.75Positive
CPWRCompuware Corp10/20          0.12         0.16Negative
BCRCR Bard 12/20          1.68         1.68In-Line
BCRCR Bard 10/25          1.68         1.70Negative
CVSCVS Caremark11/3          0.89         0.90Negative
DHRDanaher Corporation10/20          0.78         0.79Negative
DHRDanaher Corporation12/14          0.78         0.79Negative
DRIDarden Restaurants 12/6          0.41         0.54Negative
DFDean Foods11/9          0.23         0.24Negative
DLTRDollar Tree 11/17          1.54         1.54Negative
DDominion Resource  Va10/28          0.66         0.65Positive
DDominion Resource  Va11/8          0.66         0.65Positive
ETNEaton Corp10/24          1.11         1.09Positive
EBAYeBay 10/19          0.57         0.58Negative
ECLEcolab 10/25          0.70         0.71Negative
ECLEcolab 11/29          0.70         0.71Negative
EWEdwards Lifesciences10/19          0.60         0.62Negative
EAElectronic Arts10/27          0.90         0.93Negative
EFXEquifax 10/26          0.67         0.66Positive
EQREquity Residential10/26          0.65         0.66Negative
ELEstee Lauder Companies11/3          1.93         1.95Negative
FFIVF5 Networks 10/25          1.00         1.00In-Line
FDOFamily Dlr Stores 9/28          0.69         0.66Positive
FDXFedEx Corp9/22          1.50         1.56Negative
FMCFMC Corporation10/31          1.35         1.38Negative
FTIFmc Technologies10/25          0.49         0.53Negative
GMEGamestop11/17          1.71         1.74Negative
GCIGannett  Del12/7          0.69         0.69In-Line
HIGHartford Financial Services11/3          0.83         0.88Negative
HPQHewlett Packard Co11/21          0.85         1.11Negative
HONHoneywell International10/21          1.03         1.08Negative
ITWIllinois Tool Wks 11/18          0.90         0.90In-Line
ITWIllinois Tool Wks 10/25          0.90         0.91Negative
IRIngersoll Rand10/20          0.67         0.70Negative
INTUIntuit11/17          0.45         0.43Positive
JBLJabil Circuit 9/27          0.66         0.61Positive
JCPJC Penney11/14          1.10         1.14Negative
JCIJohnson Ctls 10/27          0.61         0.67Negative
KLACKLA-Tencor 10/27          0.64         0.96Negative
KSSKohl's Corp11/10          1.99         1.94Positive
LLLL-3 Communication10/27          2.41         2.49Negative
LHLaboratory Corp Of America10/20          1.51         1.52Negative
LXKLexmark International 10/25          1.20         1.13Positive
LTDLimited Brands 11/16          1.36         1.42Negative
LOWLowe's Companies 11/14          0.22         0.23Negative
LSILSI Corp10/26          0.10         0.14Negative
MMacy's 11/9          1.55         1.66Negative
MARMarriott International10/5          0.48         0.49Negative
MKCMcCormick  9/28          0.96         1.02Negative
MHPMcGraw-Hill10/20          0.57         0.59Negative
MJNMead Johnson Nutrition10/27          0.51         0.54Negative
MWVMeadWestvaco10/26          0.40         0.41Negative
METMetLife 12/5          1.21         1.28Negative
MCHPMicrochip Technology 11/3          0.42         0.44Negative
MOLXMolex 10/25          0.40         0.43Negative
MONMonsanto 10/5          0.13         0.08Positive
MONMonsanto 12/7          0.18         0.13Positive
MURMurphy Oil11/2          1.53         1.25Positive
NTAPNetapp 11/16          0.58         0.63Negative
NVLSNovellus Systems10/26          0.45         0.49Negative
NVLSNovellus Systems12/5          0.45         0.46Negative
NUENucor12/15          0.25         0.42Negative
ORCLOracle9/20          0.57         0.56Positive
ORLYO'Reilly Automotive10/26          0.82         0.83Negative
PKIPerkinElmer 11/3          0.51         0.52Negative
PCLPlum Creek Timber10/24          0.40         0.38Positive
PXPraxair10/26          1.36         1.39Negative
PCLNPriceline.Com11/7          4.95         5.13Negative
PGProcter & Gamble10/27          1.08         1.16Negative
PGProcter & Gamble11/3          1.08         1.09Negative
QCOMQualcomm11/2          0.89         0.85Positive
PWRQuanta Services 11/2          0.34         0.39Negative
RHIRobert Half International10/25          0.31         0.29Positive
ROPRoper Industries 10/24          1.20         1.21Negative
ROSTRoss Stores 10/6          1.56         1.57Negative
ROSTRoss Stores 11/17          1.56         1.59Negative
RRyder System10/25          0.95         0.97Negative
CRMSalesforce.com 11/17          0.40         0.40Negative
SHWSherwin Williams10/25          0.77         0.81Negative
SIALSigma-Aldrich10/25          0.89         0.92Negative
SIALSigma-Aldrich11/9          0.89         0.90Negative
SOSouthern10/26          0.29         0.31Negative
STJSt. Jude Medical 10/19          0.84         0.86Negative
SPLSStaples 11/15          0.41         0.43Negative
SYMCSymantec10/26          0.41         0.41Negative
TGTTarget11/16          1.48         1.47Positive
TELTe Connectivity12/6          0.70         0.70In-Line
TELTe Connectivity11/3          0.70         0.78Negative
TERTeradyne 10/26          0.12         0.14Negative
TXNTexas Instruments 10/24          0.47         0.52Negative
TXNTexas Instruments 12/8          0.38         0.48Negative
TXTTextron 10/19          0.33         0.36Negative
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific 10/26          1.22         1.23Negative
TIFTiffany And Company11/29          1.53         1.63Negative
VARVarian Medical System10/27          0.75         0.89Negative
WMTWal-Mart Stores 11/15          1.45         1.45In-Line
WATWaters10/25          1.52         1.56Negative
WDCWestern Digital10/19        (1.30)         1.05Negative
GWWWW Grainger 11/16          2.02         2.10Negative
XRXXerox10/25          0.34         0.32Positive

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