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Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Trading Ideas for August 30th: CIEN, TIVO, OVTI

Premarket watch:
CIEN is down 10%, after reported Q3 EPS of ($0.04), $0.02 worse. Revenue $474.1M vs of $473.3M.  http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cienas-loss-narrows-2012-08-30

TIVO: up 6%.
P: up 13%

                                                                            **
Today's economic data showed, US GDP is still crawling 1.7% and overall data were pretty flat but better then last month. But the market mood is set in a such a way that a bad news is good news and good news is great news. Right now stocks are in downtrend but all the hope are put on Firday's Ben Bernanke speech by the media. So what will happen if he disappoint, the hope of easing will move to September 6th ECB meeting. If ECB fails to deliver, all hope will move to September 12th, German court rule, and if they fail then deliver, hope of easing will move to September 12-13th Fed Fomc meeting. But September 13th, will be last day of hope of easing. Most of the money manager will try to maximise their return by September 13th. So till then keep patience and don't be invested all the time.

The other issue right now with this market is that its more robot controlled then human controlled and right now set to move along 200 ma. 

Based on the chart, stock market is expected to open low. Futures needs to be down 45 point to break 200 ma. 
dow jones
Dow jones closed in bearish and its expected to open lower tomorrow

Dow Jones 1 month still showing support at 13082 followed by 13068. If it breaks 13068 then sell your bull stock. 

After hour trading:
Percentage Gainers
IssueSymbolVolumeLastChg% ChgHighLow
Pandora MediaP2,218,135$11.030.959.42$11.39$10.11
Flow InternationalFLOW7,0503.820.24 6.703.823.58
ExelixisEXEL328,4354.850.26 5.665.104.54
United OnlineUNTD27,1625.370.28 5.505.375.00
TiVoTIVO423,7179.840.48 5.1310.289.00
Percentage Decliners
IssueSymbolVolumeLastChg% ChgHighLow
Casella Waste Systems Cl ACWST7,199$4.47-0.55-10.96 $5.47$4.47
Vera BradleyVRA326,68321.12-2.50-10.58 23.6220.55
Oxford IndustriesOXM14,93848.02-4.65-8.83 52.5847.04
Bank MutualBKMU6,4944.10-0.26-6.00 4.364.10
Sears HoldingsSHLD12,55255.21-2.24-3.90 57.4555.00

Economic Calendar:
      Date      TimeCurrencyEvent                          Importance  ActualForecast  PreviousNotes
Thu
Aug 30
03:55Currency: eurEUR German Unemployment Change (AUG)High7K7K
03:55Currency: eurEUR German Unemployment Rate s.a. (AUG)Medium6.8%6.8%
04:00Currency: eurEUR Italian Hourly Wages (MoM) (JUL)Low0.2%
04:00Currency: eurEUR Italian Hourly Wages (YoY) (JUL)Low1.5%
04:30Currency: gbpGBP Mortgage Approvals (JUL)Medium47.0K44.2K
04:30Currency: gbpGBP Net Consumer Credit (JUL)Medium0.5B0.6B
04:30Currency: gbpGBP Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings (JUL)Medium0.5B-0.4B
04:30Currency: gbpGBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised (JUL)Low3.0%2.9%
04:30Currency: gbpGBP M4 Money Supply (MoM) (JUL)Low-1.6%
04:30Currency: gbpGBP M4 Money Supply (YoY) (JUL)Low-5.2%
05:00Currency: eurEUR Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence (AUG F)Medium-24.6-24.6
05:00Currency: eurEUR Euro-Zone Business Climate Indicator (AUG)Low-1.3-1.27
05:00Currency: eurEUR Euro-Zone Economic Confidence (AUG)Low87.587.9
05:00Currency: eurEUR Euro-Zone Industrial Confidence (AUG)Low-15.5-15
05:00Currency: eurEUR Euro-Zone Services Confidence (AUG)Low-9-8.5
05:00Currency: eurEUR Italian Business Confidence (AUG)Low86.887.1
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Consumption Expenditure Core (YoY) (JUL)High1.7%1.8%
08:30Currency: cadCAD Current Account (BoP) (Canadian dollar) (2Q)Medium-$15.0B-$10.3B
08:30Currency: usdUSD Initial Jobless Claims (AUG 25)Medium370K372K
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Consumption Expenditure Core (MoM) (JUL)Medium0.1%0.2%
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Income (JUL)Medium0.3%0.5%
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Spending (JUL)Medium0.5%0.0%
08:30Currency: usdUSD Continuing Claims (AUG 18)Low3307K3317K
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (MoM) (JUL)Low0.1%0.1%
08:30Currency: usdUSD Personal Consumption Expenditure Deflator (YoY) (JUL)Low1.4%1.5%
10:30Currency: usdUSD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (AUG 24)Low47
11:00Currency: usdUSD Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity (AUG)Low35
19:01Currency: gbpGBP GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (AUG)Medium-27-29